US-Iran War Mudpit Thread

[cherokeetroy]

3 weeks would be unprecedented historically. its not impossible its just unlikely to last that long

It's been 1 week so far...

[DBCowboy]

I thought it was 47 years

That's what you leftist's are calling it, isn't it?

The "forever war"?

Which btw, is an awesome book.

[putnam6]

It's been 1 week so far...

What was the day the Strait was officially closed?

What was the day the Strait was officially closed by Iran


The Strait of Hormuz has not been "officially closed" in a formal, legal sense (e.g., via a declared blockade under international law that Iran has consistently denied imposing fully or permanently).

Iranian officials, including from the Foreign Ministry, have repeatedly stated as recently as March 6, 2026, that the strait is not closed, with no current intention to shut it indefinitely, and that any such decision would be announced officially if made.


However, the effective closure—where commercial traffic has largely halted due to Iranian threats, attacks on vessels (e.g., drone and projectile strikes), warnings via radio/VHF, and the resulting withdrawal of maritime war-risk insurance—began following the escalation of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict.
Key timeline based on reports:
• The conflict and initial disruptions started with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026.
• Iran began signaling restrictions around this time, with some sources noting an IRGC announcement or declaration of closure on February 28, 2026.
• The most explicit "official" declaration came on March 2, 2026, when senior IRGC adviser Ebrahim Jabbari (or Jabari) stated via Iranian state media: "The strait (of Hormuz) is closed. If anyone tries to pass, the heroes of the Revolutionary Guards and the regular navy will set those ships ablaze." This was widely reported (e.g., Reuters, WSJ, and others) as Iran's most direct claim of closure, threatening attacks on any transiting ships.
• Subsequent reports describe traffic dropping sharply from late February/early March, with effective halt by early March (e.g., 80–90% drops reported by March 3–4, near-zero transits in some daily tracking).
Later clarifications (e.g., by March 5–6) shifted to selective restrictions (e.g., targeting U.S., Israeli, European-linked vessels) rather than a total shutdown, and denials of a full closure. The situation remains de facto disrupted (insurance cancellations, fear of attacks, stranded tankers), but no single "official closure day" exists beyond the March 2 IRGC statement as the clearest public claim.
This aligns with historical patterns: Iran has threatened closure many times but never fully implemented a prolonged blockade until this crisis created practical shutdown conditions. The exact "day" depends on interpretation—March 2, 2026, is the date most associated with the explicit IRGC declaration of closure.

[cherokeetroy]

What was the day the Strait was officially closed?


[/color]

The IRG announced it Feb 28th
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2027...43636?s=20

[cherokeetroy]

"USS George H.W. Bush is deploying to the eastern Mediterranean. This will be the third carrier strike group in the region — Fox News"

https://x.com/disclosetv/status/20300921...14056?s=20

[J DOH]

It's been 1 week so far...

Sorry-- just had to...  :P

[putnam6]

The IRG announced it Feb 28th
https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2027...43636?s=20

• The most explicit "official" declaration came on March 2, 2026, when senior IRGC adviser Ebrahim Jabbari (or Jabari) stated via Iranian state media: "The strait (of Hormuz) is closed. If anyone tries to pass, the heroes of the Revolutionary Guards and the regular navy will set those ships ablaze." This was widely reported (e.g., Reuters, WSJ, and others) as Iran's most direct claim of closure, threatening attacks on any transiting ships.

[cherokeetroy]

Quote

Did Iran turn ships away from the Strait of Hormuz starting Saturday, February 28th?

Yes, following US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, Iran's Revolutionary Guard effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, instructing ships to turn away or face attacks, causing a near-halt in traffic. Major shipping lines suspended operations in the region due to these security threats, impacting 20% of global oil flow. 
 

• Action Taken: Iran announced that the strait was closed to ships linked to the US, Israel, and their Western allies.
  
• Context: This move was a direct response to military actions against Iran that began on February 28.
  
• Impact: Shipping companies suspended transit, and traffic was heavily restricted. 
  

Reports indicate that while not a formal legal closure, the threat of attack from Iran's forces created an operational shutdown for many vessels.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-eas...026-02-28/


https://x.com/disclosetv/status/20277953...92711?s=20

[Sky727]

[Kwaka]

Iron Dome has lost $ Billions in radar capability with interceptor supply draining. Iran now picking off its targets in Israel with stronger missiles.




In other news, Lebanon is preparing a ground invasion into Israel.




For how I feel about this conflict with the history of the place.