Yesterday, 12:14 PM
This post was last modified: Yesterday, 12:16 PM by worldstarcountry.
I am face palming at those who believe this is the moment. It is not, there will be shooting again in less than ten days. Better adjust your portfolio now before the next round so you can at least lock in whatever you gained.
The only purpose of this is, IMO anyways, is to clear the mines so the Amphibious assault and carrier strike groups can move in.
Israel will force retaliation through another attack, which the US and European media will pretend never happen and claim Iran has attacked doing the usual disregarding of the fact Israel tends to always fire first and not even report it at all is the usual MO. Then Trump will be all "derp derp, we warned them about playing nice" and bam, with the mines clear the operation to take Kharg will likely commence.
Of course I could be very wrong, and would rather prefer that I am wrong. I just think actions over words is where the truth is. I personally would not choose this scenario anyway. If my goal was to force submission, I would just destroy Kharg island and cripple their entire society within days. It would also take them years to rebuild that infrastructure and energy capacity, which would not bode well in an environment where big boys are tearing down your borders. It should make capturing Bandar Abbas doable within a week, and give us our opportunity to take Qeshm, which is better suited for land operations as it is not just a small open flat land.
The infrastructure can be rebuilt on the south side of the Island, perhaps even in tandem with the carving of a canal across that peninsula that pushes out from Oman/UAE . These are long term plans for long term goals. But the rapid destruction of Iran's energy production and revenue stream would cripple them. I think the only problem in this scenario though is the willingness of Russia and China volunteering direct kinetic action as a bet that they can outlast us with them being closer to production capacity than our own forces. That means we will have to continue importing assets from the Western Hemisphere and Europe; which does not happen instantly if someone dragged a cursor across a screen, highlights their units and clicks deploy like a video game.
Eh, now that I typed that out perhaps this is a sincere pause? The effort to pull off the trick would expend a lot of resources.
The only purpose of this is, IMO anyways, is to clear the mines so the Amphibious assault and carrier strike groups can move in.
Quote:Provided by DuckAII reserve my judgement until I see any of these formations actually leave the area, or at least get reduced. As it sits to me, looks like we are just trying to hoodwink a mine clearing and immediate deployment of quick reaction force to move in for the steal.
Carrier Strike GroupsAmphibious / Expeditionary Strike Groups
- Carrier Strike Group Abraham Lincoln — USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN‑72)
- Carrier Strike Group George H.W. Bush — USS George H.W. Bush (CVN‑77)
Underway Logistics / Replenishment (in‑region, high readiness)
- Expeditionary/Amphibious Strike Group Bataan‑class — USS Bataan (LHD‑5) with embarked MEU
- Expeditionary/Amphibious Strike Group Essex‑class — USS Essex (LHD‑2) with embarked MEU
- Military Sealift Command replenishment/oilers (examples: USNS Patuxent (T‑AO), USNS John Lenthall (T‑AO))
- Rotating MSC auxiliaries and expeditionary support ships staged in the region
Israel will force retaliation through another attack, which the US and European media will pretend never happen and claim Iran has attacked doing the usual disregarding of the fact Israel tends to always fire first and not even report it at all is the usual MO. Then Trump will be all "derp derp, we warned them about playing nice" and bam, with the mines clear the operation to take Kharg will likely commence.
Of course I could be very wrong, and would rather prefer that I am wrong. I just think actions over words is where the truth is. I personally would not choose this scenario anyway. If my goal was to force submission, I would just destroy Kharg island and cripple their entire society within days. It would also take them years to rebuild that infrastructure and energy capacity, which would not bode well in an environment where big boys are tearing down your borders. It should make capturing Bandar Abbas doable within a week, and give us our opportunity to take Qeshm, which is better suited for land operations as it is not just a small open flat land.
The infrastructure can be rebuilt on the south side of the Island, perhaps even in tandem with the carving of a canal across that peninsula that pushes out from Oman/UAE . These are long term plans for long term goals. But the rapid destruction of Iran's energy production and revenue stream would cripple them. I think the only problem in this scenario though is the willingness of Russia and China volunteering direct kinetic action as a bet that they can outlast us with them being closer to production capacity than our own forces. That means we will have to continue importing assets from the Western Hemisphere and Europe; which does not happen instantly if someone dragged a cursor across a screen, highlights their units and clicks deploy like a video game.
Eh, now that I typed that out perhaps this is a sincere pause? The effort to pull off the trick would expend a lot of resources.
