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04-30-2026, 04:04 AM
This post was last modified: 04-30-2026, 04:15 AM by quintessentone. 
The last news I read about this war was that Iran was looking for help from Russia, but why would Russia want this war to stop when ... "cha ching" for them? Maybe Russia could help financially to avoid economic collapse there in Iran, or figure out some way to get Iran's oil out of the country by land. Just some musings today, I will have to research further to see if any of that is plausible.
"Strategic ImplicationsWhile the US blockade has neutralized Iran’s ability to use the Strait of Hormuz as a weapon against neighbors, it has not stopped Iran’s exports. Instead, the conflict has accelerated the shift toward alternative supply routes globally, as Gulf producers seek to diversify away from the vulnerable waterway" (LLM)
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/strait-h...lines.html
There seems to be a harder/faster push to EVs and renewable energy in Asian countries.
" Yes, the war in Iran is significantly accelerating Asia’s transition to electric vehicles and renewable energy, as the conflict has disrupted fossil fuel supplies and triggered a global energy crisis. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which blocks approximately 20% of global LNG and crude oil supplies, has exposed the region’s vulnerability to Middle Eastern energy dependencies, prompting governments to prioritize energy security through electrification.
Key impacts driving this shift include: - Supply Shock and Fiscal Pressure: The loss of 10 million barrels per day of crude and refined products has caused oil prices to surge, creating fiscal pressures that are forcing governments—even those with subsidized fuel—to adopt policies favoring electrification to reduce import costs.
- Surge in EV Adoption: The conflict has acted as a "lightbulb moment" for Asia, supercharging the penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and battery electric storage systems (BESS). Markets like Vietnam and Thailand have seen EV sales grow by 150% recently, with two- and three-wheelers expected to see a 30% compound annual growth rate due to their affordability and lower running costs.
- Renewable Energy Imports: Countries are scrambling to reduce reliance on volatile fossil fuels by importing clean energy technology, particularly from China. Chinese exports of solar panels, batteries, and EVs reached record highs in early 2026, with solar exports alone surpassing previous records by 50% in March as nations seek to insulate themselves from future supply shocks.
- Policy Responses: Asian nations have implemented austerity measures such as energy rationing, work-from-home requirements, and driving bans to mitigate immediate shortages, while simultaneously committing to long-term renewable targets, such as ASEAN’s goal of 45% renewable energy by 2030" (LLM)
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/new...923143.ece
----
With this in mind, all countries that more so rely on filling their coffers from the oil/gas industry proceeds will definitely want this war to end as soon as possible.
"The only journey is the one within."
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(04-30-2026, 04:04 AM)quintessentone Wrote: The last news I read about this war was that Iran was looking for help from Russia, but why would Russia want this war to stop when ... "cha ching" for them? Maybe Russia could help financially to avoid economic collapse there in Iran, or figure out some way to get Iran's oil out of the country by land. Just some musings today, I will have to research further to see if any of that is plausible.
"Strategic ImplicationsWhile the US blockade has neutralized Iran’s ability to use the Strait of Hormuz as a weapon against neighbors, it has not stopped Iran’s exports. Instead, the conflict has accelerated the shift toward alternative supply routes globally, as Gulf producers seek to diversify away from the vulnerable waterway" (LLM)
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/strait-h...lines.html
There seems to be a harder/faster push to EVs and renewable energy in Asian countries.
"Yes, the war in Iran is significantly accelerating Asia’s transition to electric vehicles and renewable energy, as the conflict has disrupted fossil fuel supplies and triggered a global energy crisis. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which blocks approximately 20% of global LNG and crude oil supplies, has exposed the region’s vulnerability to Middle Eastern energy dependencies, prompting governments to prioritize energy security through electrification.
Key impacts driving this shift include:- Supply Shock and Fiscal Pressure: The loss of 10 million barrels per day of crude and refined products has caused oil prices to surge, creating fiscal pressures that are forcing governments—even those with subsidized fuel—to adopt policies favoring electrification to reduce import costs.
- Surge in EV Adoption: The conflict has acted as a "lightbulb moment" for Asia, supercharging the penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and battery electric storage systems (BESS). Markets like Vietnam and Thailand have seen EV sales grow by 150% recently, with two- and three-wheelers expected to see a 30% compound annual growth rate due to their affordability and lower running costs.
- Renewable Energy Imports: Countries are scrambling to reduce reliance on volatile fossil fuels by importing clean energy technology, particularly from China. Chinese exports of solar panels, batteries, and EVs reached record highs in early 2026, with solar exports alone surpassing previous records by 50% in March as nations seek to insulate themselves from future supply shocks.
- Policy Responses: Asian nations have implemented austerity measures such as energy rationing, work-from-home requirements, and driving bans to mitigate immediate shortages, while simultaneously committing to long-term renewable targets, such as ASEAN’s goal of 45% renewable energy by 2030" (LLM)
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/new...923143.ece
----
With this in mind, all countries that more so rely on filling their coffers from the oil/gas industry proceeds will definitely want this war to end as soon as possible.
The same goes for countries reliant on fertilisers for agriculture as the Russia-Ukraine conflict has already put a big strain on it and the nitrogen crisis/unsustainable farming has been one of the worlds biggest issues for a couple of decades - there wont be worldwide mass famine but cost of living prices will rise far higher and faster with basics like milk, potatoes, chicken/beef etc...being in shortage in most countries if the war continues much longer.
Russia have been praising Iran for not collapsing or signing a deal and Russian ships and superyaghts have been breaking the US blockade with US approval a while despite rearming the regime so it's a win-win for them and China; especially with the US wanting to pull out of NATO. The third world and western countries are the ones bearing the brunt of negative economic and food/medicine shortages.
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04-30-2026, 06:04 AM
This post was last modified: 04-30-2026, 06:12 AM by quintessentone. 
(04-30-2026, 05:57 AM)bastion Wrote: The same goes for countries reliant on fertilisers for agriculture as the Russia-Ukraine conflict has already put a big strain on it and the nitrogen crisis/unsustainable farming has been one of the worlds biggest issues for a couple of decades - there wont be worldwide mass famine but cost of living prices will rise far higher and faster with basics like milk, potatoes, chicken/beef etc...being in shortage in most countries if the war continues much longer.
Russia have been praising Iran for not collapsing or signing a deal and Russian ships and superyaghts have been breaking the US blockade with US approval a while despite rearming the regime so it's a win-win for them and China; especially with the US wanting to pull out of NATO. The third world and western countries are the ones bearing the brunt of negative economic and food/medicine shortages.
I don't know what the big deal is with the lack of synthetic fertilizer because I make my own natural blend using bonemeal, Epsom salts and Tums antacid tablets and/or baked and ground up egg shells (and coffee grounds). This blend gives the plant roots all they need for healthy root growth and subsequent nutritional requirements down the line are easy enough to solve with easily had and cheaper resources. I will also be making a fertilizer tea in large quantities using yard and kitchen scraps and using cooked rice for new plantings to feed the microorganisms. Tell me that can't be done on a larger scale by farmers and/or using the three sisters method.
"The only journey is the one within."
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04-30-2026, 07:00 AM
This post was last modified: 04-30-2026, 07:06 AM by bastion. 
(04-30-2026, 06:04 AM)quintessentone Wrote: I don't know what the big deal is with the lack of synthetic fertilizer because I make my own natural blend using bonemeal, Epsom salts and Tums antacid tablets and/or baked and ground up egg shells (and coffee grounds). This blend gives the plant roots all they need for healthy root growth and subsequent nutritional requirements down the line are easy enough to solve with easily had and cheaper resources. I will also be making a fertilizer tea in large quantities using yard and kitchen scraps and using cooked rice for new plantings to feed the microorganisms. Tell me that can't be done on a larger scale by farmers and/or using the three sisters method.
I use similar (fish, blood, bonemeal, chicken manure, lime, sulfur and the rarepinch of epsom salts) along with biochar and myco-bacterium so haven't used synthetics for years and spent the last year volunteering on a farm run by horticultural professors that's been doing it for 30 years and no longer need to use pesticides or weedkillers due to eliminating pest vectors and companion planting.
The issue is it takes 15 years or so for the soil to fully recover from destructive/depletive use of intensive farming practices like ploughing and using synthetic fertiliser as feeding the soil biome is proven to be far more important. After that it can be used to produce slightly smaller yields (but more profitable as there's no need to pay for synthetics or waste time and money digging fields.
Ploughing and using synthetic fertilisers on soil depletes it, kills off beneficial bacteria, fungi and microorganisms in the soil and every year farmers have to use more and more synthetic fertilisers to make up for the destructive practices. I've had 50kg+ straberry harvests in extreme drought from 5m patches while all surrounding intensive farming 'pick your own' plots had total crops failures as healthy soil makes plants a lot more resiliant to environmental stressors
Doing what we're doing improves the soil year on year but it still takes four or five years for soil to start recovering from intensive agriculture practises and a decade or more to get comparable yields to intensive farming practices. When I inherited my allotment there were a handful of worms in 100m of soil as it was dug over every year. After four years of no dig, no synthetic ferts, mulching and growing green manures there's millions of them and soil is spongey with organic matter instead of rock hard baked clay it used to be.
Will PM over some videos on bio-remediation/nitrogen crisis/rhizome biomes as it's a really deep topic and current farming science has come a long way since the intensive practices 99%+ of farms use and if massive mycoremediation nerd.
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(04-30-2026, 07:00 AM)bastion Wrote: I use similar (fish, blood, bonemeal, chicken manure, lime, sulfur and the rarepinch of epsom salts) along with biochar and myco-bacterium so haven't used synthetics for years and spent the last year volunteering on a farm run by horticultural professors that's been doing it for 30 years and no longer need to use pesticides or weedkillers due to eliminating pest vectors and companion planting.
The issue is it takes 15 years or so for the soil to recover from destructive/depletive use of intensive farming practices of ploughing and using synthetic fertiliser and be able to produce slightly smaller yields (but more profitable as there's no need to pay for synthetics or waste time and money digging fields.
Ploughing and using synthetic fertilisers on soil depletes it, kills off beneficial bacteria, fungi and microorganisms in the soil and every year farmers have to use more and more synthetic fertilisers to make up for the destructive practices. I've had 50kg+ straberry harvests in extreme drought from 5m patches while all surrounding intensive farming 'pick your own' plots had total crops failures as healthy soil makes plants a lot more resiliant to environmental stressors
Doing what we're doing improves the soil year on year but it still takes four or five years for soil to start recovering from intensive agriculture practises and a decade or more to get comparable yields to intensive farming practices. When I inherited my allotment there were a handful of worms in 100m of soil as it was dug over every year. After four years of no dig, no synthetic ferts, mulching and growing green manures there's millions of them and soil is spongey with organic matter instead of rock hard baked clay it used to be.
Will PM over some videos on bio-remediation/nitrogen crisis/rhizome biomes as it's a really deep topic and current farming science has come a long way since the intensive practices 99%+ of farms use.
Isn't it obvious they are doing it all wrong? Perhaps vertical farming is what is required here using a fertilizer drip and perhaps there is the science there to use less soil and more science in keeping roots healthy and fed from a mix of soil, air and water (fertilizer water). Yes please send some videos via PM, I am a sponge about these sorts of topics.
"The only journey is the one within."
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04-30-2026, 07:22 AM
This post was last modified: 04-30-2026, 07:25 AM by Astyanax. 
Good morning, Trump fans!
How's it going on the first day of the third month of Don and Bibi's two-day war?
Iran regime changed? Cowed mullahs brought to heel yet?
Nuclear capability 'obliterated' – sorry, 'negotiated away' – yet?
Straits open for Western shipping yet?
US blockade efficiently strangled Iran yet?
Oil prices started falling yet?
So much winning.
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CENTCOM prepares 'short and powerful' wave of strikes on Iran, Trump to be briefed on plan - AxiosLooks like Iran's going to get another dose as soon as Charlie flys off home"Another plan expected to be shared with Trump focuses on taking over part of Hormuz to reopen it to commercial shipping, the report added, noting that such an operation may involve ground forces." https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-n...cle-894659
“If we believe a thing to be bad, and if we have a right to prevent it, it is our duty to try to prevent it and damn the consequences.”
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(04-30-2026, 07:31 AM)Orby Wrote: CENTCOM prepares 'short and powerful' wave of strikes on Iran, Trump to be briefed on plan - AxiosLooks like Iran's going to get another dose as soon as Charlie flys off home"Another plan expected to be shared with Trump focuses on taking over part of Hormuz to reopen it to commercial shipping, the report added, noting that such an operation may involve ground forces." https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-n...cle-894659
In the finest tradition of Baghdad Bob
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(04-30-2026, 07:04 AM)quintessentone Wrote: Isn't it obvious they are doing it all wrong? Perhaps vertical farming is what is required here using a fertilizer drip and perhaps there is the science there to use less soil and more science in keeping roots healthy and fed from a mix of soil, air and water (fertilizer water). Yes please send some videos via PM, I am a sponge about these sorts of topics.
Will get the PM together over the next couple of days as it's more like a thesis and I have the same nerdgasm learning about such topics.
In the meantime yes, it was so obvious that we were warned against looking into the topic when I did an Applied Maths degree as the situation is so bleak they're nicknamed 'grim equations' as most people who research it in detail commit suidice.
The Amish and south American tribes have the proper approach but 'dyson farming' is a new cutting edge method of vertical farming that gets around all the issuess you highlight and hopefully replace current outdated NASA Apollo mission petridish studies on plants that have been incorrectly abused and used the last 70 years by intensive farming/monoculture practice. My sister and one of the profs at the farm helped invent the system in the early 2010s but has become a practicle, profitable method since almost ready for market.
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(04-30-2026, 07:22 AM)Astyanax Wrote: Good morning, Trump fans!
How's it going on the first day of the third month of Don and Bibi's two-day war?
Iran regime changed? Cowed mullahs brought to heel yet?
Nuclear capability 'obliterated' – sorry, 'negotiated away' – yet?
Straits open for Western shipping yet?
US blockade efficiently strangled Iran yet?
Oil prices started falling yet?
So much winning.
Oh look!
It's Tehran Tammy!
You must develop the ability to be disliked in order to free yourself from the prison of other people's opinions.
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