(04-12-2026, 12:53 AM)Astyanax Wrote: ‘Only’? So what have they lost, strategically speaking, apart from an air defence capability that was already proven irrelevant in June last year?
Muslim kinship?
I think the great capitalist fuckfest and Trump's tendency to make deals and suck up to crowned princes has lost Iran moderate Arab sympathy.
The discounted dreamliners for Etihad did something... And the Saudis have a staggering 600 billion dollar investment package of their own, mostly in our Military Industrial Complex Superstore.
And now nobody wants us to "finish the job" more than the MBS and MBZ. Against all odds, Trump's unhinged tactless organic madness has created a world where The IDF is Coordinating intelligence with Gulf States.
Lebanon is finished with Hezbollah. Letting The IDF roll through without a state sanctioned resistance.
As they all ice skate together in hell.
There is a twisted path to peace now that US assets in The Gulf States caused Iran to strike their pretty airports in anger.
And it really hinges on how easily Trump can appease the Gulf States with 600 billion dollar investment strings to pull before "what have you done for me lately" runs dry.
Populist capitalist loyalty follows profit.
So besides some silent allies trying to not look too involved (China or Russia), their control over the strait is all they have as leverage left. They lose that, all the arms China gives them wont matter... unless they are to disrupt the strait endlessly.
This was all ad libbed from the moment the initial plan was to "hope the Iranians rise up and take back their country."
But now that it's done, they have a real opportunity to cripple Iranian Influence and reset back to two weeks before 10/7, when Saudi Arabia almost took over for Jordan and recognized Israel... before Iran derailed the closest peace ever came through the rapey methed up "freedom fighters."