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(04-04-2026, 03:00 AM)bastion Wrote: There's zero chance of an Iranian nuke test in the next decade, same as prior to the current conflict; only way it could be possible is if China, NK or Russia supplied it which is still highly unlikely (though a lot more likely than before current conflict).
It'd take several months to a couple of years for them to regain access to the 60% uranium gas stockpile that was burried in last years war, a couple of years to extract it then build new centrifuge complexes to enrich to 90% and then make major advances in materials science before they could begin assembling a bomb.
There's a far greater risk of them making one now the regime has dropped the Fatwa against nukes but a long. long way off having any capacity to make them on multiple fronts.
Iran nuclear: IAEA inspectors find uranium particles enriched to 83.7%
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-64810145
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(04-03-2026, 09:02 PM)DBCowboy Wrote: And you support open borders and Iran with nukes.
So that says it all.
Another cult member who can only post strawman comments about 'commies' and 'open boarders' and telling people they're antisemitic because they disagree with Netanyahu.
As many on both sides of this argument are posting comments from X, I thought I'd add this to the conversation....
From X https://x.com/AnaEscobarShow/status/2039...93526?s=20
Quote:My brother is an American military pilot. He texted me FROM A DITCH IN ISRAEL because during bombing the Israelis refused to let American soldiers into the bomb shelter. Israel has betrayed us.
and here's the news article about it...
https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/x-user-claims-...id-1790160
Quote:X User Claims Israel Allegedly Barred American Soldiers From Bomb Shelters as Her Pilot Brother Hid in a Ditch.
A series of social media posts has sparked debate over the treatment of US military personnel stationed in Israel. An American woman claimed her brother, a military pilot, was forced to seek cover in a ditch because Israeli authorities refused to allow US troops into a local bomb shelter during a recent attack.
The claims came to light through X user @AnaEscobarShow, who shared a series of updates about her sibling's situation. She stated that her brother contacted her directly from a ditch while the area was under fire. The account suggests that despite being allies, local forces prioritised their own safety while leaving American service members exposed.
'Israel Has Betrayed Us'@AnaEscobarShow shared a screenshot of her exchange with her brother, in which he told her 'S**s got f***d.' After learning that Israeli forces were not helpful to American troops deployed in the area, she concluded: 'Israel has betrayed us.'
The user clarified that her brother is not a fighter pilot involved in combat operations, but is nonetheless stationed in a high-risk environment against his own wishes. She claimed that many others felt the same and did not want to be involved in the conflict, but were 'just following orders.' She also expressed frustration with the current US administration, blaming President Trump and alleging that the lives of US troops are being put at risk not for American interests, but for Israel. 'It's a big reason why I hate Trump so much. Their lives are at risk, not for any just cause. For Israel,' she added.
Escobar's posts imply a stark contrast between the official diplomatic relationship and the reality experienced by personnel on the ground. She suggested that the refusal to share shelter space was particularly pointed given the support the US provides to Israel. The posts garnered thousands of reactions and reshares, with many agreeing that the safety of American troops should be the priority for any nation that hosts them as allies.
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning."
Charles Tremper
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(04-03-2026, 11:45 PM)CriticalStinker Wrote: March 3: "We have won the war."
March 7: "We have defeated Iran."
March 9: "We must attack Iran." "The war is close to ending almost completely, and very beautifully."
March 12: "We have certainly won, but we haven't won completely yet."
March 13: "We have won the war."
March 14: "I need help."
March 15: "If you don't help, I'll remember it."
March 16: "Actually, I don't need any help at all." "I was just testing who would listen to me." "If NATO doesn't help, very bad things will happen."
March 17: "I need NATO's help, but I don't want it either." "Parliamentary approval is not needed to withdraw from NATO."
March 18: "Allies must cooperate in reopening the Strait of Hormuz."
March 19: "U.S. allies must get their act together and cooperate in opening the Strait of Hormuz."
March 20: "NATO is a bunch of cowards."
March 21: "We won't use it. There's no need to open it."
March 22: "This is it. Giving Iran a 48-hour ultimatum." "Iran is finished."
March 23: "Giving them a little more time."
March 24: "The war is coming to an end."
March 25: "Still negotiating."
March 26: "Iran is begging for peace. They gave us gifts. Let's give them a little more time."
March 27: "Negotiations with Iran are going very well."
March 28: "The war will be over soon."
March 29: "We might take Kharg Island, or we might not."
March 30: "If the strait isn't opened, we'll destroy all energy infrastructure and oil fields."
March 31: "The strait isn't necessary. We have enough oil. Britain, handle it yourself."
April 1: "It'll be over in two weeks."
That just shows how unhinged Trump really is!
How anyone on here can come on and claim Don' knows what he's doing in this fight against Iran are deluded.
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning."
Charles Tremper
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It still looks like Chinese and Russia cargo are sill able to reach Iran...
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...s-to-iran/
Quote:China fuelling Iran’s ballistic missiles.
Ships believed to be carrying Chinese chemicals for missile fuel have arrived in Iran, raising questions about Beijing’s support for the regime.
Four sanctioned Iran-flagged vessels have docked at Iranian ports since the war broke out, Telegraph analysis of shipping data show.
Another ship was floating offshore near Iranian waters, according to MarineTraffic, a ship-tracking and maritime analytics provider.
The ships are thought to be carrying sodium perchlorate, a precursor material used to produce solid-fuel propellants for missiles.
The vessels departed from Zhuhai’s Gaolan port, which is home to some of the largest liquid chemical storage terminals in China.
The Telegraph’s analysis, reviewed by experts, suggests that the vessels could have transported enough sodium perchlorate to produce hundreds of ballistic missiles.
It is not clear whether Iran has maintained the capacity to build new weapons after an extensive five-week bombing campaign by the US and Israel.
Miad Maleki, a former US treasury official working on Middle East sanctions, said: “Still, it’s definitely an indication that Iran is desperately trying to resupply, and to address the inventory shortage of rocket and missile fuel.
“Right now, they have a desperate need as they engage in a direct conflict. They are using their missiles; it is expected to see a surge in Iran importing these chemicals right now.”
US intelligence officials told CNN that up to half of all missile launchers in Iran remain intact despite claims to the contrary by Donald Trump and Israel.
All five ships identified by The Telegraph are part of the state-owned Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Line Group (IRISL), which is sanctioned by the US, UK, EU, Switzerland and other European nations.
Mr Maleki, a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defence of Democracies, a US research institute, said the same ships involved in such shipments had been observed coming from the Gaolan port in the past.
He noted that it would be unlikely for Iran to use sanctioned vessels for humanitarian aid, as goods could easily be transported on non-sanctioned tankers to avoid running into issues along the way, particularly if they had to bunker at foreign ports.
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning."
Charles Tremper
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(04-04-2026, 06:50 AM)Kurokage Wrote: That just shows how unhinged Trump really is!
How anyone on here can come on and claim Don' knows what he's doing in this fight against Iran are deluded.
Quote:April 1: "It'll be over in two weeks."
The statement does fit the date.
But with Trump, every day is April Fools...
"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
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(04-04-2026, 06:57 AM)Kurokage Wrote: It still looks like Chinese and Russia cargo are sill able to reach Iran...
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...s-to-iran/
Think the Russians were also welcomed past the socalled Cuban blockade.
Well, their oil tanker anyhoo...
"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
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04-04-2026, 07:51 AM
This post was last modified: 04-04-2026, 08:29 AM by Kurokage. 
(04-04-2026, 07:13 AM)andy06shake Wrote: Think the Russians were also welcomed past the socalled Cuban blockade.
Well, their oil tanker anyhoo...
Who knows what's hidden within those ships??
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning."
Charles Tremper
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(04-04-2026, 07:51 AM)Kurokage Wrote: Who knows what's hidden withing those ships??
If it's anything but oil, i don't imagine the poor Cubans will be happy given their current predicament.
But yeah, theoretically it could be all sorts.
The point is through, it makes Putin look like a hero and savior...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/2/...s-blockade
https://www.ibtimes.com/russia-readies-n...ne-3800811
"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
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(04-03-2026, 11:45 PM)CriticalStinker Wrote: March 3: "We have won the war."
March 7: "We have defeated Iran."
March 9: "We must attack Iran." "The war is close to ending almost completely, and very beautifully."
March 12: "We have certainly won, but we haven't won completely yet."
March 13: "We have won the war."
March 14: "I need help."
March 15: "If you don't help, I'll remember it."
March 16: "Actually, I don't need any help at all." "I was just testing who would listen to me." "If NATO doesn't help, very bad things will happen."
March 17: "I need NATO's help, but I don't want it either." "Parliamentary approval is not needed to withdraw from NATO."
March 18: "Allies must cooperate in reopening the Strait of Hormuz."
March 19: "U.S. allies must get their act together and cooperate in opening the Strait of Hormuz."
March 20: "NATO is a bunch of cowards."
March 21: "We won't use it. There's no need to open it."
March 22: "This is it. Giving Iran a 48-hour ultimatum." "Iran is finished."
March 23: "Giving them a little more time."
March 24: "The war is coming to an end."
March 25: "Still negotiating."
March 26: "Iran is begging for peace. They gave us gifts. Let's give them a little more time."
March 27: "Negotiations with Iran are going very well."
March 28: "The war will be over soon."
March 29: "We might take Kharg Island, or we might not."
March 30: "If the strait isn't opened, we'll destroy all energy infrastructure and oil fields."
March 31: "The strait isn't necessary. We have enough oil. Britain, handle it yourself."
April 1: "It'll be over in two weeks."
Trump's overwhelming inconsistencies coupled with the sheer number of conflicting reports coming out of the White House means internal chaos, which is national chaos
Add the firings, military purge, suppression of real casualty numbers...
This is not reassuring for America or for the world during a growing regional conflict teetering toward world War and economic turmoil
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Compared to the way other leaders are addressing the world right now
This doesn't sound unhinged at all...
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/204043...40404?s=20
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