Trump says he bombed Iran

[putnam6]

So I have to ask, those of the evil communist left persuasion, we still losing the war to the awesome might of Iran?

  ​​​​​​​ ​​​​​​​

They all went burka and hijab shopping...


here they are practicing stuffing the ballot boxes for midterms

[IdeomotorPrisoner]

"A former CIA officer Mark Polymeropoulos confirms the US is deploying its most elite kill squads to the Middle East. Delta Force, SEAL Team 6, and the 75th Ranger Regiment are all moving into position right now.

They are preparing for a massive ground invasion." 

https://x.com/ivan_8848/status/2036768739383820686?s=20  

Bets have been placed:

"A group of fresh wallets has now loaded over $2,000,000 on the exact same outcomes: 

> No ceasefire by March 31
> US forces enter Iran by April 30" 

https://x.com/PolymarketStory/status/203...10755?s=20   

Betting on boots on ground and no ceasefire now is like buying meme coin after a correction during a prolonged bull run of relevance. You know you'll profit for a few days.

And I have no qualms about literal war profiteering. EVERYONE with a little extra money can go to their online chaos brokerage and do it.

The real money seems in betting on an earlier date like "By the end of the day on March 31st." 

it goes down progressively before dropping to 66% implied odds on April 30th.  Its only a $257 dollar profit on $500.

But March 31st: 

• Implied Probability: As of late March 2026, the trader consensus on Polymarket estimated a low probability (around 14% to 15%) that the U.S. would officially "invade" (as opposed to just strike) Iran by March 31, 2026.
• Payout Calculation: In binary markets, a "Yes" share costs between 0¢ and 100¢.
• If the "Yes" price is low (e.g., 15¢ or 15% probability), a $500 bet ($500 / 0.15) could buy approximately 3,333 shares.
• If the event happens, each share pays $1.
• Potential Return: $3,333 - $500 (initial stake) = $2,833 profit, for a total payout of $3,333.

April 15th: 

Estimated Payout Calculation (as of March 24-25, 2026):

• Context: Markets indicate a high probability of continued conflict, but a specific ground invasion by early April is seen as less likely than continued airstrikes or, conversely, a potential ceasefire.
  
• The "Yes" Price: Similar markets for US forces entering Iran by March 31 show "Yes" shares trading around 20-25 cents (20-25% probability). If the "Yes" share for by April 15 is around 25 cents, a $500 bet (2,000 shares) would pay out $2,000 if the event occurs, resulting in a $1,500 profit.
  
• Payout Structure: In these markets, you buy "Yes" shares for less than $1. If the event happens, each share pays $1. If not, they are worth $0.
  

April 15th seems a good day. It gives special forces time to stage and the ships time to arrive into the theater. 

Fuck, who wants to be a chaos broker?

Only if hell is real is there something to consider...

[Maxmars]

Betting on boots on ground and no ceasefire now is like buying meme coin after a correction during a prolonged bull run of relevance. You know you'll profit for a few days.

And I have no qualms about literal war profiteering. EVERYONE with a little extra money can go to their online chaos brokerage and do it.

....

Fuck, who wants to be a chaos broker?

Only if hell is real there is there something to consider...

This struck me as prescient of the inbound marketing bubble...

"War" has made it to the new casino floor... not hidden this time... you kind of have to be a drone not to recognize what exactly you are speculating on.

Of course it's all hell.... we make it that way.

[cherokeetroy]

Betting on boots on ground and no ceasefire now is like buying meme coin after a correction during a prolonged bull run of relevance. You know you'll profit for a few days.

And I have no qualms about literal war profiteering. EVERYONE with a little extra money can go to their online chaos brokerage and do it.

The real money seems in betting on an earlier date like "By the end of the day on March 31st." 

it goes down progressively before dropping to 66% implied odds on April 30th.  Its only a $257 dollar profit on $500.

But March 31st: 

April 15th: 

April 15th seems a good day. It gives special forces time to stage and the ships time to arrive into the theater. 

Fuck, who wants to be a chaos broker?

Only if hell is real is there something to consider...

There's speculation of inside trading 

Someone close to the WH

[cherokeetroy]

Reports of another Russian oil refinery attack

https://x.com/TreasChest/status/20369686...72660?s=20

"Today, March 25, 2026, marks the finish of a multi-day Ukrainian operation to turn off the whole of Russia's Baltic oil and gas hub: Ust-Luga, Primorsk and Vyborg. After Ukrainian strikes, the ports of Ust-Luga and Primorsk stopped shipping oil. By preliminary data, 40% of the Russian oil exports capacity has been disrupted. Ust-Luga: information is coming in about the sinking of two shadow fleet tankers, and full destruction of the Novatek oil shipping terminal. In Primorsk, oil reservoirs keep burning for two days in a row now, and the tankers are drifting at sea. Russian exports through the Baltics has been de-facto paralyzed."


https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/203...48018?s=20

"At least 40% of Russia‘s oil export capacity is at a halt following Ukrainian drone attacks, according to Reuters calculations. The shutdown is the most severe oil supply disruption in the modern history of Russia."

NBC news

[Kwaka]

Fuck, who wants to be a chaos broker?

It is one of those jobs where you have to put your heart in the freezer. 

[Kwaka]

So I have to ask, those of the evil communist left persuasion, we still losing the war to the awesome might of Iran?

The only one winning at this time is more war.

Army raises maximum enlistment age to 42 

[Maxmars]

The only one winning at this time is more war.

Army raises maximum enlistment age to 42 

That's a whole thread right there... 

[EXETER]

Reports of another Russian oil refinery attack

https://x.com/TreasChest/status/20369686...72660?s=20

"Today, March 25, 2026, marks the finish of a multi-day Ukrainian operation to turn off the whole of Russia's Baltic oil and gas hub: Ust-Luga, Primorsk and Vyborg. After Ukrainian strikes, the ports of Ust-Luga and Primorsk stopped shipping oil. By preliminary data, 40% of the Russian oil exports capacity has been disrupted. Ust-Luga: information is coming in about the sinking of two shadow fleet tankers, and full destruction of the Novatek oil shipping terminal. In Primorsk, oil reservoirs keep burning for two days in a row now, and the tankers are drifting at sea. Russian exports through the Baltics has been de-facto paralyzed."


https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/203...48018?s=20

"At least 40% of Russia‘s oil export capacity is at a halt following Ukrainian drone attacks, according to Reuters calculations. The shutdown is the most severe oil supply disruption in the modern history of Russia."

NBC news

As I understand it, Ukraine had figured out that Russia was losing more money paying compensation to the families of dead and injured Russian soldiers than they were taking in in oil revenues.  So they realized that if they could just keep that up for a while, Putin would run out of money and they would win the war.  That was before the Iran war started.  Since then, Trump paused the sanctions on Russian oil, so their income suddenly went up about $10 Billion, thereby prolonging the war in Ukraine.  Looks like Ukraine decided to reset the balance by taking Russian oil offline in the Baltic.

[putnam6]

        



"War is merely the continuation of policy by other means."  Carl von Clausewitz

"War, huh, good God y'all / What is it good for? Absolutely nothin'!" Edwin Starr



The quotes from the Gulf States are fire... the video of the speech from this man from Kuwait to the UN gets an Oscar for editing 

Mossad Commentary

@MOSSADil
·
5h




 Rare moment of truth at the UN from brave Kuwaiti dissident
@JJJuraid
, invited by UN Watch: “Mr. Chair, I heard the term “colonizers.” But who are the real colonizers? A Jewish Kingdom ruled in Judea for a thousand years. We, the Arabs, took this land. Who Arabized Egyptians, Phoenicians, Persians and Amazighs? It was us, the Arabs. So why does the council enshrine a lie by keeping a permanent agenda item on Palestine, while ignoring the indigenous heart of Israel returning home? Let us be clear about who is actually defending our sovereignty. Today, Israel is a fighter for peaceful nations, freeing Gaza from Hamas terrorists and saving Iranians from the Islamic Republic. What Israel is doing to the IRGC — stopping a genocidal regime from acquiring nuclear weapons — is a gift to humanity. There are 57 Islamic countries and only one Jewish state, Israel. Despite the ongoing hateful desire to eliminate it, Israel has not only survived, it has thrived. I don’t believe in miracles, but this is one. So I ask the UN: when will you end the ritual of condemning Israel? Is it not time, instead, to learn from Israel? How to defeat terror, defend free societies, and pursue peace. Thank you.” What a refreshing act of integrity and truth. Stay connected, follow
@MOSSADil
.

 

Amjad Taha أمجد طه
@amjadt25
·
3h

The UAE stands as a strong partner of the United States. No ceasefire with the Islamic regime in Iran.

Not now.
You don’t negotiate with terror.
You end it.
The UAE stands firm.

Zero space for terrorists. Germany, Britain, Spain's governments say they want a diplomatic solution with this terrorist regime. Fine. Let it be your neighbour. Take its leadership, as you did with the Muslim Brotherhood. Give them citizenship. They are all yours.
If you want the rubbish, take it but don’t ask us to accept it or live with it. It stinks. You can have it. Live with it alone.

This Saturday will not pass quietly. It will be marked. It will be remembered.