Trump says he bombed Iran

[CriticalStinker]

You should probably back up those assertions with links. 

Just saying something or posting no context quotes ain't holding water.

from the horses’ mouth

[LSU2018]

I've also seen claims of this.

I'm sure it's not quite the military you served with as it's been more 'radicalized' since Trump took over as Commander in Chief and appointed his yes men.

ETA...

https://www.military.com/daily-news/2026...ndate.html
 

Radicalized? They can finally be trained like men again without political pandering getting in the way. That's the only reason two of my boys joined the Army, one is currently in basic training at Ft. Sill and the other is still in processing at Ft. Benning. Their 1st cousin is training to be a Navy combat medic, he's being sent to Iran as soon as his school ends in 12 more weeks.

[Moon68]

[Video: https://youtu.be/pTz8YEHIRuM]

[Video: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cyly8WFNWw...c3JhZWw%3D]

from the horses’ mouth

I can't watch them (restricted at work) but I'd assume one is Hegseth's 2018 speech in Jerusalem, not in his capacity as Secretary of War?

And an Ambassador to Israel agreeing with Israel's position? (gasp) The horror!

[LSU2018]

I thought the Strait of Hormuz was going to be opened back up before the opening bell on Monday morning?


Iran has launched ballistic missiles at the Bahrain Petroleum Company refinery in Sitra, an island off Bahrain. The BAPCO facility processes up to 400,000 barrels of oil daily, a critical energy hub in the Gulf. Authorities are responding to the attack.
https://x.com/dhruvmarathe18/status/2029...45804?s=20

US navy says no ships available for escort for 7-10 days and Marsh (world's largest insurance broker) saying could take weeks to arrange US insurance scheme. Each day = ~15MM bbls impact. YOY "glut" including sanctioned barrels = 161MM Bbls. In 10 days, "oil glut" = gone.
https://x.com/ericnuttall/status/2029529...79085?s=20

This is, literally, the most important countdown in the world.
Oil exporters in the Persian Gulf, currently unable to export their hydrocarbon bounty, are all facing a dire short-term outlook. 
https://x.com/Frank_Stones/status/202946...22086?s=20

Singapore's PCS declares force majeure on petrochemical supply, letter shows - Reuters
https://x.com/AdiSurreyEnergy/status/202...21786?s=20

CHINA TELLS TOP REFINERS TO SUSPEND DIESEL, GASOLINE EXPORTS
https://x.com/OilHeadlineNews/status/202...21261?s=20

SOUTH KOREA HAS LNG RESERVES FOR ONLY NINE DAYS - LAWMAKER
https://x.com/Scutty/status/2029344899355820476?s=20

Coal futures surge +7.2% to $138/ton as a rare Qatar LNG facility shutdown drives power sector demand for alternative fuels.
https://x.com/Hedgeye/status/2029274643266203898?s=20

The sources said that once Qatar's main Ras Laffan plant shuts on Wednesday, it won't be ‌able ⁠to restart turning gas into super-chilled fuel for at least two weeks, according to initial estimates. Once restarted, it will ⁠take at least another two weeks to reach full capacity, the sources said.”
https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/202940...14785?s=20

UAE Ministry of Economy:
——
"We urge everyone to purchase only according to their needs and take advantage of the wide variety of available alternatives."
https://x.com/TOzgokmen/status/2029366142939095050?s=20

Gas prices in Europe have jumped about 53% in just a few days, driven by disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian strikes affecting Qatar’s LNG production.  
https://x.com/ferozwala/status/2029467267574972598?s=20

Missile Strike Hits U.S. Oil Tanker in Northern Persian Gulf; Another Tanker Damaged Off Kuwait, Oil Leaking

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) says its navy struck an American oil tanker early Wednesday in the northern Persian Gulf, adding that the vessel is now burning after the attack. The US has not confirmed the incident.

 Separately, the UK Maritime Trade Operations reported that a tanker about 30 nautical miles southeast of Mubarak Al Kabeer, Kuwait suffered a large explosion after a small craft was seen leaving the area. Oil is leaking from a damaged cargo tank and the vessel has taken on water, though the crew are reported safe.

 Iran’s IRGC warned that during wartime all passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be under its control and that U.S., Israeli, and allied vessels will be targeted if detected
https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/202947...73440?s=20


LNG shipping rates soar 650% from $40,000 to $300,000 per day.
https://x.com/stats_feed/status/20295767...43481?s=20


BREAKING: U.S. Central Command is now saying internally that this war against Iran is likely to last through September, per POLITICO
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/2029...61922?s=20

Reminds me of
"Two weeks to flatten the curve"

I would imagine all but one of those articles are just as fake, too.

[LSU2018]

It sure looks like Iran and their allies have been prepared for this for a long time, just saying.

Of course it does, that's what they want it to seem like.

[quintessentone]

Of course it does, that's what they want it to seem like.

They?

UK Maritime Trade Operations

US Command

Doesn't a two week war change to now pushing it into September tell you something isn't going as planned?

[Moon68]

They?

UK Maritime Trade Operations

US Command

Doesn't a two week war change to now pushing it into September tell you something isn't going as planned?

Nope.

Battlefield conditions determine the scope of operations, not some arbitrary timeline.

[LSU2018]

Most of us use our old ATS names.  What were all of yours?

2012 - 2015: LSU0408 (lost all the info after one of the crashes and had to make a new name)
2015 - Shutdown: LSU2018

[quintessentone]

Nope.

Battlefield conditions determine the scope of operations, not some arbitrary timeline.

How do you know the original two week timeline was arbitrary?

ETA: it actually was a four to five week timeline which had to have some sort of basis in scope of operations, yes?

I'd say the USA has grossly miscalculated this country's capabilities at defending themselves.

[CriticalStinker]

I can't watch them (restricted at work) but I'd assume one is Hegseth's 2018 speech in Jerusalem, not in his capacity as Secretary of War?

And an Ambassador to Israel agreeing with Israel's position? (gasp) The horror!

Maybe he wasn’t Secretary of State at the time. He must have had incredible foresight, things seem to be on track.

You can brush off Huckabee since he’s the ambassador to Israel, but some of that territory is in other allies land. It certainly wasn’t well received. I don’t think US policy should have anything to do with an expansionist country we have no treaties with. The “Israel is our greatest ally” thing is  going away with the older generations though. Everyone else knows it’s the furthest thing from the truth.