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Trump says he bombed Iran
(04-13-2026, 10:16 AM)cherokeetroy Wrote: https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/20437011...09753?s=20

[Image: https://i.imgur.com/ctJtbvn.jpeg]

98.2% of drugs have stopped?

Lol...

Yet, there are a swiss cheese network of warehouse to warehouse tunnels spanning the border.  And it sounds good. 98.2% is real official sounding.  

Totally misleading, but he thinks all drugs come by sea while missing all the meth and heroin slipping through a checkpoint with a shipment of vegetables... or through the tunnels. 

It's also comforting to know he puts blowing up Venezuelan fishermen in the same class as The IRGC.
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In direct response to Trump's blockade threats,
physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel
(04-13-2026, 12:10 PM)Astyanax Wrote: In direct response to Trump's blockade threats,
physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel



1 company gouging it's buyers does not a "record high" make. Brent Crude, you know the international benchmark, is still under $100. 


Here are the current prices per barrel:

https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/#WTI-Crude
(04-13-2026, 12:27 PM)PorkChop96 Wrote: 1 company gouging it's buyers does not a "record high" make. Brent Crude, you know the international benchmark, is still under $100. 


Here are the current prices per barrel:

https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/#WTI-Crude


Those are future contracts. So if you get a June dated contract for Brent it’s at 100~, spot price is different though.

edit: you have to pick up the oil from the futures contract too. Spot price is futures plus transport and any other costs.
It appears Russia is willing and able to take up the slack of supplying India and China and others if Iranian oil stops, unless Ukraine is able to then target Russia's oil/gas infrastructure and oil fields.

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"Yes, Russia is explicitly prepared to increase oil and gas supplies to both China and India in response to rising global demand and supply disruptions in the Middle East.  Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated on March 4, 2026, that Moscow is "always ready" to satisfy additional demand, noting that "if they buy, we will sell" amidst the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. 

Recent high-level diplomatic visits in April 2026 have reinforced this capacity, with Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov confirming that Russian companies have the ability to steadily increase crude oil and LNG shipments to the Indian market.  Similarly, Russia is actively discussing with Chinese partners the expansion of oil exports via both pipeline routes and sea, with intergovernmental agreements extending supply terms through 2033" (LLM)

---

"Ukraine has intensified a campaign of long-range drone strikes against Russia's oil and gas infrastructure in 2026, aiming to disrupt the Kremlin's primary revenue source which funds its war effort.  As of early April 2026, these attacks have halted approximately 40% of Russia's crude oil export capacity, amounting to roughly 2 million barrels per day

Recent major targets include the Ust-Luga and Primorsk Baltic ports, the Novorossiysk terminal on the Black Sea, and several key refineries such as NORSI (Lukoil), KirishiSaratov, and Bashneft-Novoil.  These strikes have caused significant fires, damaged storage tanks, and forced the suspension of operations at facilities processing millions of tons of oil and gas condensate annually." (LLM)

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Which other country could China and India buy their oil/gas from? The United States perhaps? (My train of thought being that China and India may look elsewhere for their oil/gas supplies instead of choosing to escalate Israel and US's illegal war.)
"The only journey is the one within."
(04-13-2026, 04:44 AM)andy06shake Wrote: "Trump PANICS as Fox host EXPOSES Ceasefire FAILURE"

[Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uO9s994G1i0]


The "mind reading" trope is so old and tired.
(04-13-2026, 02:12 PM)Bush Master Wrote: The "mind reading" trope is so old and tired.

I suggest Trump ticks a similar box.

Even amongst his own crowd lately.


"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
Is Trump willing to go to war with China?

I seriously doubt it..

In fact, I would be willing to bet that all that is needed to collapse the US blockade is a Chinese warship firing a single warning shot at a US ship attempting to interdict a Chinese, or Chinese escorted ship.

Trump has claimed that Iran "holds no cards", but Trump also knows that China holds cards the US cannot afford to have them play.


At this point, I would suggest that a quick negotiated end to this war, one heavily favoring Iran, unfortunately,  could be achieved by Iran detonating a "short range" (long enough to reach Israel) ICBM launched nuclear warhead somewhere within the airspace of Iran.

Does Iran have that capability? Could Iran "borrow" that capability?

I don't know.

But such a demonstration would certainly change the tenor of of this conflict; without, directly, inflicting cause for retaliation.
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"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
I guess even if Iran capatulates, we can still turn and "sanction" China, if they get stupid and give us a pretext.

5-D Chess, yo

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