U.S. Economy Grows 4.3%​ in Q3 2025, Fastest in Two Years

[putnam6]

I Im smiling at this... a lot. Will be taking the rest of the year off.

We finished up 31% overall over 2024. 



U.S. Economy Grows 4.3%​ in Q3 2025, Fastest in Two Years​​​​​​

U.S. Economy Grows 4.3% in Q3 2025, Fastest in Two Years

Last updated 16 minutes ago

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real GDP growth of 4.3% for July through September, up from 3.8% in the prior quarter and driven by 3.5% consumer spending gains in health care, travel, and services, plus an 8.8% export surge and 4.7% import drop that narrowed the trade deficit to $52.8 billion.

President Trump celebrated the numbers as proof of his tariffs, tax cuts, and policies ushering in a 'Trump Economic Golden Age,' while Vice President JD Vance called it great news for the country.

Though private investment dipped slightly and inflation edged to 2.8%, the strong report lifted 2026 recession odds to a low 25% on prediction markets.

This story is a summary of posts on X and may evolve over time. Grok can make mistakes, verify its outputs.

U.S. Economy Grows 4.3% in Q3 2025, Fastest in Two Years[Image: https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/181...normal.jpg]
JD Vance

@JDVance
·
3h

Wow. Great news for the country!
[Image: https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/166...normal.jpg]
Piers Morgan
@piersmorgan
·
4h
BREAKING: US economy surges 4.3% in third quarter, blowing out all *much* lower forecasts. Massive Christmas gift for President @realDonaldTrump .

[ANNEE]

Are people spending more?

Or have prices on everyday products risen so high it's presenting a false narrative?

[IdeomotorPrisoner]

Wait, my Trump criticism can't allow this...

Key Drivers: The expansion was primarily driven by increases in consumer spending, exports, and government spending. Consumer spending grew at a 3.5% annual rate, the strongest pace since the end of 2024.

But what drove the 3.5 consumer increase? 

The 3.5% surge in consumer spending during the third quarter of 2025 was primarily driven by a sharp increase in services, particularly healthcare, as well as a pre-deadline rush to purchase electric vehicles. 

• Healthcare Services: Spending on outpatient services, hospital care, and nursing home services rose at its fastest pace since late 2022, contributing 0.8 percentage points to the overall GDP.

• Electric Vehicles (EVs): A significant spike in purchases occurred as consumers rushed to use federal tax credits before their expiration on September 30.

• Wealth Effect: High-income households, benefiting from strong equity markets and accumulated pandemic-era wealth, accounted for a disproportionate share of the spending.

• Travel and Goods: International travel rebounded, and spending on recreational goods, prescription drugs, and non-durable goods (such as food, apparel, and footwear) remained robust.

• New Consumer Trends: Spending patterns shifted toward health and wellness products, including GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, fresh produce, and gym memberships.

And what does that actually say about the economy?

While spending was strong, some of this activity was fueled by a rise in household debt, with credit card balances increasing by $24 billion during the quarter.

Additionally, while spending increased, consumer sentiment remained low due to persistent inflation. 

Ah, that's better.

But I guess on the surface 3.5% = good.

It also grew 33.1% during 2020 Q3, when everyone was locked inside their freaking homes.

But that shouldn't really count...

2020 Q2: -32.9%
2020 Q3: 33.1%
2021 Q2: 6.7%
2021 Q3: 2.3%
2022 Q2: -0.6% (later "revised" to 1.0%)
2022 Q3: 4.3%
2023 Q2: 4.1%
2023 Q3: 4.9%
2024 Q2: 3.0%
2024 Q3: 3.1%
2025 Q2: 3.7%
2025 Q3: 4.3%

Trump (probably): Even though I went to Wharton, I still dont know anything about the economy, so I choose to spin this as, "The economy is the hottest it has ever been"

 And then ignore everything else.

[Tecate]

As far as I’m concerned, as long as each of you US citizens are doing ok, work, warm homes and fed families, that’s what truly matters.

We all know statistics can be skewed, everyone has opinions, etc but it all comes down to how we and our families are affected.

Keep your chins up, rejoice in family and friends and know that in my experience, everything seems to work out eventually.

Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah etc to all…

Tecate

[putnam6]

We all know statistics can be skewed, everyone has opinions, etc but it all comes down to how we and our families are affected.


Tecate

So all these major media sources were lied too, or are they just willingly supporting incorrect numbers? 

One can say their livelihoods' numbers are down, but this is the same  way we've down our inflation indicators every month for years

So is somebody telling them to skew them?

It's not as if these numbers aren't audited? 

[ANNEE]

So all these major media sources were lied too, or are they just willingly supporting incorrect numbers? 

One can say their livelihoods' numbers are down, but this is the same  way we've down our inflation indicators every month for years

So is somebody telling them to skew them?

It's not as if these numbers aren't audited? 

[Image: https://denyignorance.com/uploader/image...c11b10.jpg]

WHY matters.

[putnam6]

WHY matters.

Such a short declarative sentence

WHY is the economy doing well?

Or why are there suspicions that the numbers are skewed?

[ANNEE]

Such a short declarative sentence

WHY is the economy doing well?

Or why are there suspicions that the numbers are skewed?

See IdeomotorPrisoner's post above.

But I also researched it myself.  No need to be redundant.

[Tecate]

Seriously I don’t actually care whether the stats are real or skewed.

My point is if you and your family are doing fine then that’s all that matters.

Has the economy change affected you or not…

I personally don’t have a dog in the hunt, I’m Canadian and we have our own political bullshit to deal with…

Tecate

[ANNEE]

Has the economy change affected you or not…

YES 

One of the things listed for increase spending is Medical Insurance costs.

Commercial spending is up with those in the high-income bracket.

Why matters.