10-07-2024, 05:21 AM
What Lukashenko says might be pure propaganda and nothing more.
However, he can be searching for a pretext to attack Ukraine. It's not a secret he's being pressured by Putin to join the war. So far he hesitated because he was afraid of potential riots at home if Belarusian soldiers started dying or if he announced mobilization. But nobody really knows what's going on in his head or what Putin promised him.
I doubt the Belarusian army is strong enough to occupy parts of Ukraine but opening a new front would distract Ukrainians' attention and further weaken the defense of the Eastern front.
However, he can be searching for a pretext to attack Ukraine. It's not a secret he's being pressured by Putin to join the war. So far he hesitated because he was afraid of potential riots at home if Belarusian soldiers started dying or if he announced mobilization. But nobody really knows what's going on in his head or what Putin promised him.
I doubt the Belarusian army is strong enough to occupy parts of Ukraine but opening a new front would distract Ukrainians' attention and further weaken the defense of the Eastern front.
