01-24-2025, 12:21 AM
(01-23-2025, 09:45 PM)MonkMode Wrote: La Niña usually means less rain and warmer winters for us, from more varied Pacific winds, which may be the case this year.
In addition, the polar winds seem to be missing us, but are hitting the eastern states hard.
But those Santa Ana winds going against the flow have hit SoCal hard.
It does seem to be the case that the average global temperature has risen a couple degrees Fahrenheit in the last couple hundred years.
That may not seem like much, but I think any change to the average global temperature over a 200 year span is very significant.
I expect a stable earth climate would never see any change in the average global temperature, as observed through seasons over 200 years.
Based on ice core data, the average temperature of the Earth was stable over the last 24,000 years or so, up until the beginning of the industrial revolution (usually taken to be 1850). There were occasional fluctuations due to things like volcanic eruptions, and whatnot, but they were 100 times slower compared to today. Today, we are a bit more than 1 degree C warmer than the preindustrial era, and almost all of that has occurred since 1975. The rate of change today is about 0.2 degrees C per decade, it's all in the upward direction, and it tracks the increase in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere very closely. I don't think the rate of change has ever been this fast due to strictly natural causes. The possible exception might be when the asteroid hit the Earth and formed the Chicxulub Crater near the Yucatan Peninsula. That one killed the dinosaurs overnight.