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BREAKING: Russian units broke into Pokrovsk
#91
(11-23-2025, 04:46 PM)Oldcarpy2 Wrote: The current deal is Russia's wish list.

Quite why you are rooting constantly for Russia, disgusts me.


Sorry you can't see the difference between pointing out reality and rooting. I wouldn't root for either side...I am just pointing out the obvious to you fools who've been manipulated by our governments to root for the side they backed. The current deal will get rejected and Ukraine will end up losing more and more every week that this continues...it is what it is.
#92
(11-23-2025, 05:49 PM)Creaky Wrote: Pretty sure Trump would like to have his name up there as a negotiator for peace, point at the democratic proxy war as a failure and 
Russia are playing that slow game of chess, gentle constant pressure, their economy still seems robust. Putin has a winter port, not sure he needs much more than what he has already achieved.
Nato will probably collapse or tear itself apart over the coming decade

I will say with all the sanctioms that everyone says would ruin Russia, all we seem to have done was push them to figure out how to harden themselves to our sanctions on a more rapid timeline. Now they don't really have anywhere near the effect they would have had 20 years ago. NATO has out lived its usefulness and the EU needs to figure out their own defense without relying on the US. The war was never winnable for Ukraine alone...they just don't have the bodies to match what Russia can field. Will it be over fast...no...but the longer it drags they less Russia will lose and the Ukraine will...and the pace will only keep speeding up as we have already seen.
#93
It's difficult to really know the truth of what is going on. I see on the news they report that Russian oligarchs are leaving on planes, Putin selling his country's gold reserves, Putin raising taxes on the people to fund the war, Putin sending Ukrainian citizens to the front as well as Russian citizen drug addicts and drunkards, Ukraine blowing up Russia's/Moscow's electrical power plant and oil refineries, and a bitter cold Winter is on the way.

I also see Russia's attempted circumvention oil/gas transportation tactics foiled by the U.K. and other NATO countries. I also see Putin having other oil train transportation issues such as Lithuania suspending Lukoil transit cargoes to Kaliningrad, not to mention Ukraine blowing up Russian trains and gas stations too.

So I have a hard time believing Putin/Russia is not experiencing severe economic and military failures.
"The only journey is the one within."
#94
(11-23-2025, 10:50 PM)quintessentone Wrote: Putin selling his country's gold reserves


its been reported that Russia has sold more than 50% of there physical gold since the beginning of there war.

That alone goes to show how well the sanctions are working. Its just a matter of time before the Russians go broke, again.
#95
(11-23-2025, 10:50 PM)quintessentone Wrote: It's difficult to really know the truth of what is going on. I see on the news they report that Russian oligarchs are leaving on planes, Putin selling his country's gold reserves, Putin raising taxes on the people to fund the war, Putin sending Ukrainian citizens to the front as well as Russian citizen drug addicts and drunkards, Ukraine blowing up Russia's/Moscow's electrical power plant and oil refineries, and a bitter cold Winter is on the way.

I also see Russia's attempted circumvention oil/gas transportation tactics foiled by the U.K. and other NATO countries. I also see Putin having other oil train transportation issues such as Lithuania suspending Lukoil transit cargoes to Kaliningrad, not to mention Ukraine blowing up Russian trains and gas stations too.

So I have a hard time believing Putin/Russia is not experiencing severe economic and military failures.


Can you link the claims of oligarchs fleeing Russia or Russian gold reserve sales? Are all of these reports only to be found in western media?

I do believe that this war has put strain on Russia's economy just not to the level the western media makes it out to be. China buys plenty of oil and gas from Russia and India told the west to kick rocks in regards to sanctions on Russian oil and gas too. Nothing Ukraine has done with strikes is remotely crippling almost all have been drone strikes and the way these facilities are built if a pipe bursts or fire is detected everything shuts off. So while they make a big flaming show you would need multiple hits on specific places to "destroy" something like oil refining facilities...you need a cascading failure. 

Also wouldn't mind taking a look at whatever sources you have for Russia sending Ukrainian citizens to the front. That makes literally no sense from any angle...they'd be a liability at the least and a security issue if motivated. Its not like they would fight their own country against their will...even under threat of death the likelihood is that they would get droned anyway. How long would you fight your country if forced if you knew it was highly likely you'd die anyway?
#96
(11-24-2025, 05:33 AM)RickyD Wrote: Can you link the claims of oligarchs fleeing Russia or Russian gold reserve sales? Are all of these reports only to be found in western media?

I do believe that this war has put strain on Russia's economy just not to the level the western media makes it out to be. China buys plenty of oil and gas from Russia and India told the west to kick rocks in regards to sanctions on Russian oil and gas too. Nothing Ukraine has done with strikes is remotely crippling almost all have been drone strikes and the way these facilities are built if a pipe bursts or fire is detected everything shuts off. So while they make a big flaming show you would need multiple hits on specific places to "destroy" something like oil refining facilities...you need a cascading failure. 

Also wouldn't mind taking a look at whatever sources you have for Russia sending Ukrainian citizens to the front. That makes literally no sense from any angle...they'd be a liability at the least and a security issue if motivated. Its not like they would fight their own country against their will...even under threat of death the likelihood is that they would get droned anyway. How long would you fight your country if forced if you knew it was highly likely you'd die anyway?

The claims about oligarchs fleeing Russia and gold reserves being sold are supported by credible sources.

Russian billionaires lost $95 billion in 2022 due to sanctions.

And the central bank is selling gold to offset budget shortfalls.

Forced conscription of Ukrainians from occupied territories is documented by Human Rights Watch and other outlets, with reports of civilians being coerced into military service.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/d...hatgpt.com
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/11/2...ves-a91192
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...hatgpt.com
https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/12/20/russ...hatgpt.com
https://www.euronews.com/2025/11/07/mosc...hatgpt.com
"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
#97
(11-23-2025, 08:06 PM)RickyD Wrote: I will say with all the sanctioms that everyone says would ruin Russia, all we seem to have done was push them to figure out how to harden themselves to our sanctions on a more rapid timeline. Now they don't really have anywhere near the effect they would have had 20 years ago. NATO has out lived its usefulness and the EU needs to figure out their own defense without relying on the US. The war was never winnable for Ukraine alone...they just don't have the bodies to match what Russia can field. Will it be over fast...no...but the longer it drags they less Russia will lose and the Ukraine will...and the pace will only keep speeding up as we have already seen.

The problem being your argument overlooks how seriously sanctions have hurt Russia.

Its GDP is in the toilet.

And remains well below pre-war trends.

Never mind the fact that about 300 billion euros of its central bank reserves are still frozen.

She is also losing equipment at an unsustainable rate, including thousands of tanks and armored vehicles since 2024.

Ukraine's manpower is smaller.

But Western training, intelligence, and advanced weapons make its forces far more effective per soldier.

And the idea that NATO is obsolete ignores that European defense has expanded rapidly because of the alliance's support.

Overall, Russia is paying a heavy long-term price for its illegal invasion of a peaceful nation.
"Yet so it is, we see the illiterate bulk of mankind that walk the high-road of plain common sense, and are governed by the dictates of nature, for the most part easy and undisturbed. To them nothing that is familiar appears unaccountable or difficult to comprehend."
#98
(11-23-2025, 04:33 PM)RickyD Wrote: Which way are the lines moving and have been moving for the last year? How has the speed of that movement increased? Which side is running out of soldiers to field? Either the west and Ukraine offer a deal that Russia favors or Russia just declines anything else and keeps pushing the lines towards the Deniper. Its painfully obvious obvious that Ukraine is no longer able to hold the lines and now its all about how many losses they can cause as they have to fall back. Everywhere Russia is pushing is moving their way so either Ukraine finds a way to make peace or they just keep losing more territory. None of this has to do with Trump aside from him being the only one trying to put forth a deal thats even remotely based in reality. None of this will matter though as the deal he is putting forth Russia won't agree to anyway. We can revist this in a week or so and see if I am right or not...

The lines are moving at a snails pace after nearly 4 years of fighting instead of Putin's 10 day operation.(something you can't seem to grasp??) I remember a certain someone (You) back on ATS saying this would soon be all done and dusted, how did that go??

The side running out of soldiers is the one that's employing North Koreans and has now put the country on a continued conscription instead of a yearly one.

You're the same old stuck record from the ATS days.

Russian before it invaded Ukraine was the supposed 2nd best military in the world, it's took 4 years to seize 20% of a country that's 28 times smaller. That says it all.



 
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning." 
Charles Tremper
#99
(11-24-2025, 05:33 AM)RickyD Wrote: Can you link the claims of oligarchs fleeing Russia or Russian gold reserve sales? Are all of these reports only to be found in western media?


Funny that you ask that!  Seeing as my first response to you was exactly that (with multiple links) but you chose to ignore it and respond to me using a different response.

Do you expect a Kremlin controlled media to allow the truth to be printed???

You're a funny guy!!  Lol Lol Lol Lol



 
"Denial is a common tactic that substitutes deliberate ignorance for thoughtful planning." 
Charles Tremper
(11-24-2025, 05:33 AM)RickyD Wrote: Can you link the claims of oligarchs fleeing Russia or Russian gold reserve sales? Are all of these reports only to be found in western media?

I do believe that this war has put strain on Russia's economy just not to the level the western media makes it out to be. China buys plenty of oil and gas from Russia and India told the west to kick rocks in regards to sanctions on Russian oil and gas too. Nothing Ukraine has done with strikes is remotely crippling almost all have been drone strikes and the way these facilities are built if a pipe bursts or fire is detected everything shuts off. So while they make a big flaming show you would need multiple hits on specific places to "destroy" something like oil refining facilities...you need a cascading failure. 

Also wouldn't mind taking a look at whatever sources you have for Russia sending Ukrainian citizens to the front. That makes literally no sense from any angle...they'd be a liability at the least and a security issue if motivated. Its not like they would fight their own country against their will...even under threat of death the likelihood is that they would get droned anyway. How long would you fight your country if forced if you knew it was highly likely you'd die anyway?

I also saw where China has decreased their oil imports from Russia by 38%. Very worrisome for Putin, I would imagine.

As for Russia sending Ukrainian citizens to the front, that is just another war crime to add to the list and that is why Putin added that there will be no accountability (no war court) to his 28 point surrender plan. And it was a Russian plan because it was originally written in Russian and the translated to English then given to Trump along with a bribe which he happily accepted.

There is now a counter peace plan from Ukraine/EU. They are basically still surrendering their land to Russia. What's missing is that Ukraine promised to hold elections immediately, I'd like to see the same in Russia.

"1. Ukraine's sovereignty to be reconfirmed.2. There will be a total and complete non-aggression agreement reached between Russia and Ukraine and NATO. All ambiguities from the last 30 years will be resolved.
(Point 3 of U.S. plan is deleted. A draft of that plan seen by Reuters said: "There will be the expectation that Russia will not invade its neighbours and NATO will not expand further.")
4. After a peace agreement is signed, a dialogue between Russia and NATO will convene to address all security concerns and create a de-escalatory environment to ensure global security and increase the opportunity for connectivity and future economic opportunity.
5. Ukraine will receive robust Security Guarantees
6. Size of Ukraine military to be capped at 800,000 in peacetime.
7. Ukraine joining NATO depends on consensus of NATO members, which does not exist.
8. NATO agrees not to permanently station troops under its command in Ukraine in peacetime.
9. NATO fighter jets will be stationed in Poland
10. US guarantee that mirrors Article 5
a. US to receive compensation for the guarantee
b. If Ukraine invades Russia, it forfeits the guarantee
c. If Russia invades Ukraine, in addition to a robust coordinated military response, all global sanctions will be restored and any kind of recognition for the new territory and all other benefits from this agreement will be withdrawn.
11. Ukraine is eligible for EU membership and will get short-term preferred market access to Europe while this is being evaluated
12. Robust Global Redevelopment Package for Ukraine including but not limited to:
a. Creation of Ukraine Development fund to invest in high growth industries including technology, data centres and Al efforts
b. The United States will partner with Ukraine to jointly restore, grow, modernize and operate Ukraine's gas infrastructure, which includes its pipeline and storage facilities
c. A joint effort to redevelop areas impacted by the war to restore, redevelop and modernize cities and residential areas
d. Infrastructure development
e. Mineral and natural resource extraction
f. A special financing package will be developed by the World Bank to provide financing to accelerate these efforts.
13. Russia to be progressively re-integrated into the global economy
a. Sanction relief will be discussed and agreed upon in phases and on a case-by-case basis.
b. The United States will enter into a long-term Economic Cooperation Agreement to pursue mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, AI, datacenters, rare earths, joint projects in the Arctic, as well as various other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities.
c. Russia to be invited back into the G8
14. Ukraine will be fully reconstructed and compensated financially, including through Russian sovereign assets that will remain frozen until Russia compensates damage to Ukraine.
15. A joint Security taskforce will be established with the participation of US, Ukraine, Russia and the Europeans to promote and enforce all of the provisions of this agreement
16. Russia will legislatively enshrine a non-aggression policy towards Europe and Ukraine
17. The United States and Russia agree to extend nuclear non-proliferation and control treaties, including Fair Start
18. Ukraine agrees to remain a non-nuclear state under the NPT
19. The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant will be restarted under supervision of the IAEA, and the produced power shall be shared equitably in a 50-50 split between Russia and Ukraine.
20. Ukraine will adopt EU rules on religious tolerance and the protection of linguistic minorities.
21. Territories
Ukraine commits not to recover its occupied sovereign territory through military means. Negotiations on territorial swaps will start from the Line of Contact.
22. Once future territorial arrangements have been agreed, both the Russian Federation and Ukraine undertake not to change these arrangements by force. Any security guarantees will not apply if there is a breach of this obligation
23. Russia shall not obstruct Ukraine's use of the Dnieper River for purposes of commercial activities, and agreements will be reached for grain shipments to move freely through the Black Sea
24. A humanitarian committee will be established to resolve open issues:
a. All remaining prisoners and bodies will be exchanged on the principle of All for All
b. All civilian detainees and hostages will be returned, including children
c. There will be a family reunification program
d. Provisions will be made to address the suffering of victims from the conflict
25. Ukraine will hold elections as soon as possible after the signing of the peace agreement.
26. Provision will be made to address the suffering of victims of the conflict.
27. This agreement will be legally binding. Its implementation will be monitored and guaranteed by a Board of Peace, chaired by President Donald J. Trump. There will be
penalties for violation.
28. Upon all sides agreeing to this memorandum, a ceasefire will be immediately effective upon both parties withdrawing to the agreed upon points for the implementation of the agreement to begin. Ceasefire modalities, including monitoring, will be agreed by both parties under US supervision.

---------------

Also that deadline of this Thursday is now not a thing as Marco Rubio has slowed down this runaway train heading for a trainwreck.

Lt. Gen. Hodges seems to think that the EU has what it takes to bring Putin down to his knees.


"The only journey is the one within."



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