(02-01-2025, 08:53 PM)Creaky Wrote: They say the ice is definitely melting and a new northern passage will be available above Canada through Greenland for shipping, and oil gas deposits around there, some rare earth minerals?
Sounds like a wise investment.
not sure on the veracity of the linked article I posted
The Northwest Passage isn't going to be strategically important until it is ice-free year-round, and that won't happen until probably the end of the century if global warming continues at the present rate.
And by the way, let's pause here for a moment and recognize that the premise that the Northwest Passage is going to become ice-free contains within it the premise that anthropogenic global warming is real.
Be that as it may, there is no urgency to this issue. There is no particular reason this issue has to be decided now. For one thing, both Russia and China are in very serious demographic decline. Their birth rate fell below the replacement level many years ago, and they don't really care very much for immigration, so that means that they are very unlikely to be major global powers in about 10 years or so. All we have to do is wait a little bit and they will no longer be much of a factor. That assumes that we can avoid a similar fate.
And then you have to consider the cost-benefit ratio of trying to take over Greenland militarily. Greenland is a member of NATO through Denmark. If we attempted a hostile takeover of Greenland, we would basically shatter NATO. We would be isolated diplomatically, economically, and militarily. That would be costly and there is really no need for that.
We actually faced a similar situation at the end of WWII. The large oil fields of Saudi Arabia had just been discovered and we realized that all that petroleum would be necessary for the rebuilding of Europe and that we could make a buck in that process. So we partnered with Saudi Arabia through ARAMCO--the ARab AMerican Oil Company. We provided the capital and expertise to put in a petroleum infrastructure and the Arabs gave us an exclusive business arrangement to sell the oil internationally. We didn't have to take over and own Saudi Arabia.
If we want access to the resources of Greenland, why don't we just enter into a business agreement to develop them?