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(11-25-2025, 10:51 AM)3rdrockfrmsun Wrote: You’re absolutely right that there are uses for a 350T-parameter model.
The question isn’t “could a government use it?”
The question is “is that why it’s being built?”
A hammer can be used to build a house.
It can also be used to break a lock.
Same tool, different intent.
Nothing on your list actually requires a frontier model:- Intelligence agencies already rely on specialized, domain-specific models — faster, cheaper, more secure.
- Scientific R&D depends more on accuracy and interpretability than scale.
- Logistics and public-sector optimization work better with smaller, fine-tuned models that don’t hallucinate.
Frontier-scale models are incredible generalists…
but governments don’t need generalists.
They need reliable tools, not black boxes.
So when I say projected power, here’s what I mean:
A 350T model creates the appearance of godlike capability —
the kind of thing that can justify:- massive funding pipelines
- classified partnerships
- emergency “temporary” powers
- “we can’t tell you what it’s for” secrecy
- private–public data sharing no one voted on
It’s the same pattern we saw with nuclear research, SIGINT, counterterrorism, and bio-surveillance:
the threat narrative justifies the infrastructure long before the threat is real.
That’s what I mean by projection.
Show the public an unstoppable superintelligence,
then build whatever you want behind the curtain
because everyone’s too scared to question it.
Meanwhile, the actual deployment ends up happening in private labs, not federal agencies.
So I’m not denying the potential.
I’m questioning the story — who benefits from it, who controls it, and whether “national security” is just the wrapper.
If the model is truly for the nation, great.
But if it’s really for the networks around it — that’s a different conversation entirely.
Im going to call you out on intelligence agencies using faster cheaper and more secure models because nothing fast is ever cheap and nothing cheap is ever secure. I wonder where you get the idea that the entirety of every piece of data in the world doesnt take a frontier model for actionable analysis in real time as the data changes and to plan every outcome so not only is it every piece of data to exist and happening now but calculating every possible outcome as well. Name one model that can.
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(11-25-2025, 01:17 PM)ReturnofBroccoli Wrote: Im going to call you out on intelligence agencies using faster cheaper and more secure models because nothing fast is ever cheap and nothing cheap is ever secure. I wonder where you get the idea that the entirety of every piece of data in the world doesnt take a frontier model for actionable analysis in real time as the data changes and to plan every outcome so not only is it every piece of data to exist and happening now but calculating every possible outcome as well. Name one model that can.
I think you’re imagining intelligence agencies using some kind of sci-fi omnibrain that sucks in every piece of global data in real time and predicts every possible outcome like it’s Dr. Manhattan. That’s just not how national intelligence actually works, and it’s definitely not how frontier models work. For decades intelligence agencies have used swarms of small, domain-specific systems — models built for signals, separate models for satellite imaging, separate models for language translation, separate models for anomaly detection in financial flows, and so on. These systems are highly tuned, fast, secure, and interpretable. They don’t rely on a single unpredictable mega-model that hallucinates under load. And that’s the core issue here: the bigger the model, the more unpredictable it becomes. Even the companies building 300T+ models admit they don’t fully understand their internal reasoning, their memory structure, their emergent biases, or when they’ll produce false information with total confidence. No government on earth is going to base nuclear response decisions, counterintelligence screening, or global threat assessment on a giant black box that might spontaneously invent an answer to fill in a gap. The idea that “fast” and “cheap” can’t be “secure” completely misunderstands the architecture that actually exists — it’s not about price, it’s about specialization. A 300-trillion parameter generalist is a jack-of-all-trades model. Intelligence work needs specialists — and specialists are smaller, cleaner, more predictable, and easier to secure.
The whole idea that you need a frontier model to “process all global data and calculate every possible outcome” sounds impressive, but there isn’t a model on the planet — not 350T, not 3,500T, not 3 million T — that can even ingest all global data streams, much less maintain real-time updates across every RF signal, every financial transaction, every satellite feed, every sensor network, every human conversation, every classified archive, and every foreign intercept. That’s not an AI problem. It’s a physics problem. Bandwidth, latency, storage, thermal limits, energy constraints — the bottlenecks exist long before you ever get to the model. Intelligence agencies don’t operate by creating a digital god that “knows everything.” They run ensembles of models, each doing its own job, branched and cross-checked by human analysts.
So when I call frontier-scale AI “power projection,” I’m not saying the compute isn’t real. The compute is absolutely real. What I’m saying is that the narrative around it — the idea that it’s required for national survival, that it must be built at any cost, that it must be handed to private companies who operate behind classified NDAs — serves certain interests much more than others. Frontier models justify huge budgets, government dependence on private clouds, emergency regulatory powers, and all kinds of opaque partnerships. That’s the projection: the appearance of omniscience, the appearance of inevitability, the appearance that if we don’t build this exact thing, we fall behind and die. Meanwhile, most real intelligence work still runs on targeted models that outperform frontier systems in accuracy, reliability, and security.
The power is real, but the story behind the power is doing a lot of heavy lifting. My argument isn’t about weakening anything — it’s about asking who actually benefits from creating a central, privatized cognitive infrastructure that no public institution can audit, regulate, or fully understand. If this tech is truly for national survival, fine. But if it’s for the entities surrounding it, then the stakes are very different. That’s why I call it projection: we’re told it’s about defending the nation, while the architecture mostly strengthens the new private empires that the nation quietly depends on.
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(11-25-2025, 04:38 PM)3rdrockfrmsun Wrote: I think you’re imagining intelligence agencies using some kind of sci-fi omnibrain that sucks in every piece of global data in real time and predicts every possible outcome like it’s Dr. Manhattan. That’s just not how national intelligence actually works, and it’s definitely not how frontier models work. For decades intelligence agencies have used swarms of small, domain-specific systems — models built for signals, separate models for satellite imaging, separate models for language translation, separate models for anomaly detection in financial flows, and so on. These systems are highly tuned, fast, secure, and interpretable. They don’t rely on a single unpredictable mega-model that hallucinates under load. And that’s the core issue here: the bigger the model, the more unpredictable it becomes. Even the companies building 300T+ models admit they don’t fully understand their internal reasoning, their memory structure, their emergent biases, or when they’ll produce false information with total confidence. No government on earth is going to base nuclear response decisions, counterintelligence screening, or global threat assessment on a giant black box that might spontaneously invent an answer to fill in a gap. The idea that “fast” and “cheap” can’t be “secure” completely misunderstands the architecture that actually exists — it’s not about price, it’s about specialization. A 300-trillion parameter generalist is a jack-of-all-trades model. Intelligence work needs specialists — and specialists are smaller, cleaner, more predictable, and easier to secure.
The whole idea that you need a frontier model to “process all global data and calculate every possible outcome” sounds impressive, but there isn’t a model on the planet — not 350T, not 3,500T, not 3 million T — that can even ingest all global data streams, much less maintain real-time updates across every RF signal, every financial transaction, every satellite feed, every sensor network, every human conversation, every classified archive, and every foreign intercept. That’s not an AI problem. It’s a physics problem. Bandwidth, latency, storage, thermal limits, energy constraints — the bottlenecks exist long before you ever get to the model. Intelligence agencies don’t operate by creating a digital god that “knows everything.” They run ensembles of models, each doing its own job, branched and cross-checked by human analysts.
So when I call frontier-scale AI “power projection,” I’m not saying the compute isn’t real. The compute is absolutely real. What I’m saying is that the narrative around it — the idea that it’s required for national survival, that it must be built at any cost, that it must be handed to private companies who operate behind classified NDAs — serves certain interests much more than others. Frontier models justify huge budgets, government dependence on private clouds, emergency regulatory powers, and all kinds of opaque partnerships. That’s the projection: the appearance of omniscience, the appearance of inevitability, the appearance that if we don’t build this exact thing, we fall behind and die. Meanwhile, most real intelligence work still runs on targeted models that outperform frontier systems in accuracy, reliability, and security.
The power is real, but the story behind the power is doing a lot of heavy lifting. My argument isn’t about weakening anything — it’s about asking who actually benefits from creating a central, privatized cognitive infrastructure that no public institution can audit, regulate, or fully understand. If this tech is truly for national survival, fine. But if it’s for the entities surrounding it, then the stakes are very different. That’s why I call it projection: we’re told it’s about defending the nation, while the architecture mostly strengthens the new private empires that the nation quietly depends on.
Im not imagining at all i can care less about any of it, the only one speculating here is you, and im fairly confident I work with LLMs more than you do. You should make up your mind in one paragraph the superbrain exists and in another it doesn't. Booooooo
Im kidding your writings are well thought out and I enjoyed all of it and the thread is nice.
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(11-25-2025, 01:17 PM)ReturnofBroccoli Wrote: Im going to call you out on intelligence agencies using faster cheaper and more secure models because nothing fast is ever cheap and nothing cheap is ever secure. I wonder where you get the idea that the entirety of every piece of data in the world doesnt take a frontier model for actionable analysis in real time as the data changes and to plan every outcome so not only is it every piece of data to exist and happening now but calculating every possible outcome as well. Name one model that can.
You still have the same problems with processing all the raw data. How do you know what is actionable and what is just chatter?
Intel agencies get plugged into power structures, so a lot of the data they have is highly actionable.
I don't think AI is going to give us too much of an edge, and for the edge it gives I think it will give as many false reads. False reads can cost all of the edge that we got.
There is going to be very little upside to AI. Almost none of it will be for the "greater good".
Right now, Nvidia's market cap is 16% of US GDP, and would rank 3rd as a nation. Either this is a bubble that eventually pops, or there is loss of jobs and privacy never seen before. Lose lose for society. On top of that, power rates will continue to go up, as well as other consumables. First Ram goes up 200% but what next?
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(11-25-2025, 06:52 PM)CriticalStinker Wrote: You still have the same problems with processing all the raw data. How do you know what is actionable and what is just chatter?
Intel agencies get plugged into power structures, so a lot of the data they have is highly actionable.
I don't think AI is going to give us too much of an edge, and for the edge it gives I think it will give as many false reads. False reads can cost all of the edge that we got.
There is going to be very little upside to AI. Almost none of it will be for the "greater good".
Right now, Nvidia's market cap is 16% of US GDP, and would rank 3rd as a nation. Either this is a bubble that eventually pops, or there is loss of jobs and privacy never seen before. Lose lose for society. On top of that, power rates will continue to go up, as well as other consumables. First Ram goes up 200% but what next?
I guess we will see wont we because here it comes
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Data centers should be built on the moon.
“The American press is a shame and a reproach to a civilized people. When a man is too lazy to work and too cowardly to steal, he becomes an editor and manufactures public opinion.”
― William T. Sherman
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(11-25-2025, 08:54 PM)ReturnofBroccoli Wrote: I guess we will see wont we because here it comes
That part I agree with you on. The arms race is in full swing. I don't think there is much that can stop it anytime soon.
And when it does look like it's slowing down, expect to see news of quantum computing picking up. It will either be a shift or a multiplier. A lot of what quantum computing comes up with will likely need AI to make sense of it. If that is successful, it will bring it's own host of problems. There's a possibility it breaks modern encryption, which could seriously disrupt the markets. There's a possibility it would render crypto null, and banks and other online services would have to scramble on how to secure their platforms.
Some people have compared this to the industrial revolution. They say it may make our lives easier, by making work more efficient. Only problem I see with that, is these companies will have to make their money back from building these massive investments. We're talking possible trillions. I don't know how the interim would look. There wouldn't be much left but manual labor, which ironically the government looks poised to bring back ashore.
Imagine if we trade our cushy office jobs for factory work again, lol.
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(11-25-2025, 05:57 PM)ReturnofBroccoli Wrote: Im not imagining at all i can care less about any of it, the only one speculating here is you, and im fairly confident I work with LLMs more than you do. You should make up your mind in one paragraph the superbrain exists and in another it doesn't. Booooooo 
Im kidding your writings are well thought out and I enjoyed all of it and the thread is nice.
Fair enough — and I appreciate the good-faith read.
But I’ll just say this: you’re assuming I’m talking about a single “superbrain” when the reality is far closer to a network of specialized models stitched together for different operational layers. Frontier models aren’t the only game in town, and they’re definitely not the only ones capable of real-time inference at scale.
And as for my background — you’re making some big leaps about what I do or don’t work with. I’ve spent enough time around production-grade systems to know that “fast, cheap, secure” isn’t a contradiction when the model is purpose-built rather than public-facing. That’s the whole point. Different models for different missions.
We’ll leave it at that.
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(11-25-2025, 10:01 PM)3rdrockfrmsun Wrote: Fair enough — and I appreciate the good-faith read.
But I’ll just say this: you’re assuming I’m talking about a single “superbrain” when the reality is far closer to a network of specialized models stitched together for different operational layers. Frontier models aren’t the only game in town, and they’re definitely not the only ones capable of real-time inference at scale.
And as for my background — you’re making some big leaps about what I do or don’t work with. I’ve spent enough time around production-grade systems to know that “fast, cheap, secure” isn’t a contradiction when the model is purpose-built rather than public-facing. That’s the whole point. Different models for different missions.
We’ll leave it at that. 
I assume nothing i was just pointing out that raw power isnt projection that was my only point, the rest u built :p but it became a nice thread because of it so :)
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Well… Trump’s “Genesis Mission” basically just confirmed the direction a lot of us suspected: the U.S. is openly moving toward a centralized, state-run digital empire.
Forget the PR spin about “accelerating science.”
Look at what this actually is:
• A federalized AI super-system
• Plugged into national labs
• With exclusive access to massive, non-public government datasets
• Designed to analyze, model, and optimize everything from energy grids to global supply chains
• Controlled from the top of the executive branch
• With compute power no civilian model could legally match
This is the first time a government has said the quiet part out loud:
They intend to create a sovereign AI with capabilities no citizen, company, or foreign nation is allowed to possess.
A digital super-state.
People keep arguing in this thread about “AI supremacy,” “parameter counts,” and whether any nation needs this level of power — but Genesis Mission settles the question. The U.S. government wants a computational monopoly big enough to shape global information flows, predict geopolitical moves, and pre-optimize policy before humans even debate it.
This isn’t ChatGPT plugged into a federal website.
This is the operating system of an empire.
And here’s the part everyone should pay attention to:
For the first time, the government is acknowledging that the new arms race isn’t nuclear, biological, or cyber.
It’s cognitive.
It’s the race to build the first full-spectrum national AI that sees everything, models everything, and makes decisions faster than any human bureaucracy could ever dream of.
They even used Manhattan Project language — because it is one.
Whether anyone likes it or not, Genesis Mission means the world just crossed a line:
The governing class is building a parallel intelligence with more information, more compute, and more strategic reach than any elected system ever had.
This is exactly what a digital empire looks like at the moment it begins.
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