08-09-2024, 02:48 AM
Experts believe that the Nankai Trough quake could occur along the plate boundary between Suruga Bay in Shizuoka Prefecture and the Hyuganada Sea off Kyushu. They believe there is a 70 to 80 percent chance that it will strike within the next three decades and have a magnitude in the range of 8 to 9.
According to a recent government estimate, in the worst-case scenario, it could claim more than 230,000 lives and destroy about 2 million buildings.
I get how important this is...
I get that people had best prepare for these things...
... but "within the next three decades" is almost a call to simply shut down the city, and have everyone move away until the risk is over.
I find the idea frightening, because the loss of life alone would be tragic... and the warning will only have served those who left before it happened.
I would pray that the tectonic pressure miraculously shunts to a less damaging event.
