How Trump stays president

[annonentity]

This amazing lecture was done in June of 2024  The predictions are done on game theory.  He Knew that Trump would be president and analyses the problems involved with the unravelling of the nation's soul.It might be worth saying that his money is where his mouth is,as many of the theories based on game theory have already come true. He thinks that when the next elections are due he will make sure he can run as vice president for as long as possible, with Don Junior as president. Thats untill the civil war starts and ends in a way which might not be to everybody's taste Geo-Strategy #11: The Second American Civil War.

[xuenchen]

koolneat 

from the vid site:

Jun 7, 2024In his June 7, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin explores how and why America would fight a second Civil War: Right now, America is suffering three trends that make civil war more and more likely:

a.) Increasing political polarization driven by the culture wars and inequality.
b.) Breakdown of the narratives that bind America, especially the American Dream and liberalism.
c.) Growing distrust of America's national institutions, including the government, media, science, military, universities, and justice system.

If Trump wins in November, we can expect riots and civil unrest.
If Trump refuses to step down in 2028, we can expect a civil war to blow up.

[UltraBudgie]

hmm keywords "more and more", "increasing", "breakdown", "growing distrust", "we can expect", "we can expect"...

is this (leftist) accelerationism?

as in everything is getting worse and worse faster and faster so duh something has to break soon right despite that being how people have been describing society for thousands of years?

but it does seem to be getting faster and faster, especially with how the news narrative flits from one outrage to the next so quickly now. even just looking back a year, it seems news cycles are shorter. it's all trump this now trump that so quickly now. we're only one eighth through his term too. can the rate of acceleration keep up? it somehow seems built in to the system that it just has to keep accelerating, doesn't it? and when trump is no longer enough of a stable nexus for the outrage to oscillate around, what happens then? he's pretty much the apex domestic incendiary. if not civil war, then hot war with china? israel fallout? where is this road leading?

[FlyersFan]

That's really absurd.
Some far left minds had to work overtime to come up with that paranoia.

[UltraBudgie]

That's really absurd.
Some far left minds had to work overtime to come up with that paranoia.

can you go in to more detail about where you think the probabilities are skewed or the focus is unrealistic?

[Maxmars]

Activist journalism... under construction there..

It seems more and more that these "learned analysis" from people
with full 'believability' credentials and self-revealed authority...

... are all crafting,...ultimately...a wish list.

[FlyersFan]

can you go in to more detail about where you think the probabilities are skewed or the focus is unrealistic?

Really?  You can't see how far fetched that is?

[UltraBudgie]

Really?  You can't see how far fetched that is?

i don't disgree with you you know though perhaps with diferent nuance i was only wonder if it was worth more discussion than mere dismissal but okay

[BeyondKnowledge]

A vice president must be eligible to become president. Trump will have served 8 years as president. That makes him ineligible to be vice president. 

Some hate him so much that they want him in office forever just to continue hating him.

[annonentity]

He made a list of probable outcomes based on his hypothesis of what he determines are the drivers. The real outcomes which transpire test how robust the hypothesis is. He leaves a few outcomes hanging but he seems to be on the ball with many predictions. The main thrust is that for the average person the result will be the challenge on how to live with a steadily unfolding chaotic situation, as the threads required to hold a modern interconnected society collapse. Every action has an equal and opposite reaction i think he has a gift for verbalizing the outcome of this, we might not want to hear it but it has to be admitted that he is not that far of the mark.